Indy Eleven vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Louisville City
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Louisville City
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
Indy Eleven
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
Indy Eleven 2-2 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven and Louisville City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Louisville City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 47% of the ball to Louisville City's 53%, shots finished 7-31, expected goals 0.81 to 3.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.67 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?
Indy Eleven 2-2 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 32%, draw 27%, Louisville City 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Louisville City), Under 2.5 went the other way.