Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Louisville City
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Louisville City
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
Indy Eleven
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City 5-3 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City saw off Indy Eleven 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Louisville City had 47% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 53%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 3.22 to 0.98.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Louisville City and 0.67 for Indy Eleven.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Louisville City 5-3 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 49%, draw 24%, Indy Eleven 27%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.