Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartford Athletic v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
0-3
HT 0-1
Miami FC
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Miami FC
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
2-0
HT 0-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Miami FC
USLP
Hartford Athletic 3-2 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
Hartford Athletic nicked a narrow win over Miami FC 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hartford Athletic as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Hartford Athletic had 40% of the ball to Miami FC's 60%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 3.43 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hartford Athletic's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miami FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Hartford Athletic and 2.00 for Miami FC.
What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?
Hartford Athletic 3-2 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 46%, draw 27%, Miami FC 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.