FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tulsa v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
5-0
HT 3-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
3-0
HT 2-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-5
HT 1-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
4-3
HT 3-3
FC Tulsa
USLP
FC Tulsa 3-3 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa and Phoenix Rising shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 57% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 43%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.58 to 1.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Tulsa and 3.00 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
FC Tulsa 3-3 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 38%, draw 28%, Phoenix Rising 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tulsa), Under 2.5 went the other way.