Detroit City 1-0 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 32% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.18/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.22
-37% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.2 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
1-0
AWAY North Carolina
0.51 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
296 Passes 234
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City nicked a narrow win over North Carolina 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Detroit City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Detroit City had 53% of the ball to North Carolina's 47%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.51 to 0.94 — the balance of chances actually favoured North Carolina.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs North Carolina?

Detroit City 1-0 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated an North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 35%, draw 26%, North Carolina 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (North Carolina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (North Carolina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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