Memphis 901 0-2 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Apr 2024

Memphis 901
0-2 HT 0-0
Orange County SC
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Memphis 901 v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.51/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.31
+23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.5 Crosses 12.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memphis 901
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Orange County SC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.67 xG 1.64
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
447 Passes 285
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
23.07.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 3-4 HT 3-3 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
04.09.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP

Memphis 901 0-2 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Memphis 901
0-2
AWAY Orange County SC
1.24 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
323 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC got the better of Memphis 901 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Orange County SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Memphis 901 had 53% of the ball to Orange County SC's 47%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.24 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Orange County SC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Memphis 901 and 2.50 for Orange County SC.

What was the final score of Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC?

Memphis 901 0-2 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Memphis 901 39%, draw 29%, Orange County SC 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Memphis 901) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✓ Under 2.5
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