Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
Miami FC
USLP
4-1
HT 1-0
Miami FC
USLP
2-2
HT 2-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds squeezed past Miami FC 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 47% of the ball to Miami FC's 53%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.96 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pittsburgh Riverhounds's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.83 for Miami FC.
What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 52%, draw 24%, Miami FC 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.