San Antonio 2-2 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.28
Draw
26%
5.28
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
7.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.81 — our 26% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-17.9pp
26%
Draw
16%
+10.1pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.63/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.62
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.0 Crosses 16.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Oakland Roots
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.17 xG 0.96
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
148 Passes 275
58% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-2 HT 2-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
12.03.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 3-1 HT 2-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
29.10.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 3-0 HT 1-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
04.09.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-2 HT 0-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
19.06.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 1-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
2-2
AWAY Oakland Roots
0.84 xG 1.25
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
386 Passes 221
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio and Oakland Roots couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had San Antonio at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, San Antonio had 61% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 39%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.84 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Antonio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for San Antonio and 0.80 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Oakland Roots?

San Antonio 2-2 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 56%, draw 26%, Oakland Roots 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Antonio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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