Birmingham Legion vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham Legion v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-3
Birmingham Legion
USLP
3-2
HT 1-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
3-1
HT 2-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-1
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-2
HT 0-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
Birmingham Legion 2-2 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham Legion and FC Tulsa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Birmingham Legion at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Birmingham Legion had 50% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 50%, shots finished 30-10, expected goals 2.32 to 1.31.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.83 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs FC Tulsa?
Birmingham Legion 2-2 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 45%, draw 23%, FC Tulsa 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.