Colorado Springs 2-0 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.63/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.50
+17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
16.8 Crosses 13.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
2W-1D-3L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.86 xG 1.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
264 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 5
06.05.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-3 HT 0-2 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
16.03.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-2 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
06.10.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-4 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
13.08.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-4 HT 3-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
10.07.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
14.10.2021 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 4-2 HT 1-2 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
2-0
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
1.35 xG 0.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
322 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs got the better of El Paso Locomotive 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 50% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 50%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.35 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Colorado Springs and 2.33 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive?

Colorado Springs 2-0 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 47%, draw 25%, El Paso Locomotive 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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