Charleston Battery 1-0 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.01
2-3 Goals
39%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
5.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.7pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.15/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.88
+37% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
19.8 Crosses 11.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.58 xG 1.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
363 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.06.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-4 HT 2-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
09.04.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-2 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
02.10.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 6-3 HT 3-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
17.07.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-1 HT 2-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
27.10.2021 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
10.10.2021 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 4-3 HT 3-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
1-0
AWAY Hartford Athletic
0.80 xG 0.61
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
495 Passes 300
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery nicked a narrow win over Hartford Athletic 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 59% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 41%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.80 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Charleston Battery and 2.83 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic?

Charleston Battery 1-0 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 61%, draw 22%, Hartford Athletic 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Over 2.5
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