Caracas FC 0-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
53%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.14/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.79
-15% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
9.0 Crosses 21.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Carabobo
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.41 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
271 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
20.04.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
09.10.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
04.02.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.06.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
04.06.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
0-1
AWAY Carabobo
0.40 xG 0.66
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
410 Passes 214
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo edged past Caracas FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Caracas FC had 63% of the ball to Carabobo's 37%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.40 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Caracas FC and 0.33 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Carabobo?

Caracas FC 0-1 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 22%, draw 26%, Carabobo 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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