Carabobo 1-0 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.17/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.81
-14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.5 Crosses 19.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Caracas FC
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.03 xG 0.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 Passes 200
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.10.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
04.02.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.06.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
04.06.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-0
AWAY Caracas FC
1.08 xG 0.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
283 Passes 250
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo squeezed past Caracas FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Carabobo had 51% of the ball to Caracas FC's 49%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.08 to 0.10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Carabobo and 0.25 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Caracas FC?

Carabobo 1-0 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 42%, draw 31%, Caracas FC 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
20 Apr 2024
02:00 Metropolitanos vs Angostura FC Analysis →
02:00 Zamora vs Portuguesa FC Analysis →