Metropolitanos 2-0 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.70/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.94
-5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
27.1 Crosses 11.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Angostura FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.48 xG 0.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
315 Passes 174
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 0-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
24.04.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 3-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
2-0
AWAY Angostura FC
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos beat Angostura FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Metropolitanos as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.50 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Angostura FC?

Metropolitanos 2-0 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 44%, draw 26%, Angostura FC 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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