Zamora 0-2 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+8.7pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.04/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.79
+40% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +75%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
13.7 Crosses 14.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
267 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
10.07.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-2 HT 1-2 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
06.05.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
18.07.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
06.05.2022 Zamora Zamora 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
12.09.2021 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
25.07.2021 Zamora Zamora 1-4 HT 0-2 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
0-2
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.90 xG 0.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
342 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC got the better of Zamora 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portuguesa FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamora had 51% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 49%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.90 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zamora and 1.67 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Portuguesa FC?

Zamora 0-2 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zamora 36%, draw 22%, Portuguesa FC 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portuguesa FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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