Changchun YaTai 1-0 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
18.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.87 — our 22% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.16/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.33
-24% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
Crosses 17.2
Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai squeezed past Suzhou Dongwu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Changchun YaTai as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Changchun YaTai 1-0 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 51%, draw 23%, Suzhou Dongwu 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changchun YaTai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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