Foshan Nanshi 0-1 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.79
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.57/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.22
+13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
Corners 7
06.08.2021 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 2-3 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.07.2021 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 3-2 HT 1-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN2
19.10.2019 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-2 HT 0-2 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
0-1
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
0.79 xG 1.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
209 Passes 108
62% Pass Accuracy 50%
16 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meizhou Hakka squeezed past Foshan Nanshi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Foshan Nanshi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 61% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 39%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.79 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.67 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Meizhou Hakka?

Foshan Nanshi 0-1 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 44%, draw 23%, Meizhou Hakka 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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