Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.19/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.85
-17% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +60%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Amorebieta
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Amorebieta Amorebieta 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
20.02.2021 Amorebieta Amorebieta 3-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
22.11.2020 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-0 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
14.12.2019 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-2
AWAY Amorebieta
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Alaves II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 61% of the ball to Amorebieta's 39%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Amorebieta led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 1.00 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Amorebieta?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 52%, draw 28%, Amorebieta 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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