Almeria II 1-1 Lorca Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorca Deportiva EU Bookmakers 49%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.72/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-28% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 7.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lorca Deportiva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2026 Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva 1-0 HT 1-0 Almeria II Almeria II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
1-1
AWAY Lorca Deportiva
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs Lorca Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II and Lorca Deportiva shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lorca Deportiva at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Almeria II had 55% of the ball to Lorca Deportiva's 45%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs Lorca Deportiva?

Almeria II 1-1 Lorca Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Lorca Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorca Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 28%, draw 31%, Lorca Deportiva 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lorca Deportiva), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lorca Deportiva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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