Estepona 1-1 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.13/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.34
-14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Melilla
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2025 Melilla Melilla 3-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
19.03.2023 Estepona Estepona 1-0 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
30.10.2022 Melilla Melilla 0-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona and Melilla couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Estepona and 1.00 for Melilla.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Melilla?

Estepona 1-1 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estepona 40%, draw 28%, Melilla 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estepona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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