Melilla 3-0 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Dec 2025

Melilla
3-0 HT 0-0
Estepona
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

Melilla vs Estepona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melilla v Estepona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.30/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.07
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
326 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 61%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Melilla vs Estepona Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Estepona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.03.2023 Estepona Estepona 1-0 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
30.10.2022 Melilla Melilla 0-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla cruised past Estepona 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melilla as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estepona led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Melilla and 0.50 for Estepona.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Estepona?

Melilla 3-0 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Melilla 48%, draw 29%, Estepona 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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