Lorca Deportiva 1-0 Almeria II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorca Deportiva EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria II EU Bookmakers 26%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.34/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.93
-6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorca Deportiva
1-0
AWAY Almeria II
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lorca Deportiva vs Almeria II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorca Deportiva nicked a narrow win over Almeria II 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lorca Deportiva as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lorca Deportiva had 53% of the ball to Almeria II's 47%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Lorca Deportiva vs Almeria II?

Lorca Deportiva 1-0 Almeria II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorca Deportiva vs Almeria II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorca Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lorca Deportiva 44%, draw 30%, Almeria II 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorca Deportiva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorca Deportiva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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