UCAM Murcia vs CD Aguilas Prediction — Model Probabilities
UCAM Murcia v CD Aguilas — Team-Based Signals
UCAM Murcia vs CD Aguilas Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
UCAM Murcia 1-0 CD Aguilas — Actual Match Statistics
UCAM Murcia shaded a tight game against CD Aguilas 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came home.
Under the surface, UCAM Murcia had 47% of the ball to CD Aguilas's 53%, shots finished 14-10.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CD Aguilas led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UCAM Murcia and 1.00 for CD Aguilas.
UCAM Murcia vs CD Aguilas Result & Final Score
UCAM Murcia 1 - 0 CD Aguilas in the Spain - Segunda Federación on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
UCAM Murcia vs CD Aguilas Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 45%, draw 34%, CD Aguilas 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.