UCAM Murcia 1-1 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.2pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.21/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.42
-14% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Aguilas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
29.10.2023 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
1-1
AWAY CD Aguilas
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia and CD Aguilas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was UCAM Murcia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 50% of the ball to CD Aguilas's 50%, shots finished 11-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CD Aguilas led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for UCAM Murcia and 0.50 for CD Aguilas.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs CD Aguilas?

UCAM Murcia 1-1 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 46%, draw 30%, CD Aguilas 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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