Colonia Moscardo 1-1 Union Sur Yaiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
1-1
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Union Sur Yaiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo and Union Sur Yaiza couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Colonia Moscardo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 46% of the ball to Union Sur Yaiza's 54%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Colonia Moscardo 1-1 Union Sur Yaiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 49%, draw 23%, Union Sur Yaiza 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colonia Moscardo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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