Mostoles 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
25%
+11.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-10.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.7pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 52%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+104% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
197 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
0-1
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda squeezed past Mostoles 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Rayo Majadahonda made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Mostoles had 39% of the ball to Rayo Majadahonda's 61%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Mostoles 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 37%, draw 25%, Rayo Majadahonda 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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