Almeria II 1-2 La Union Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.49/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.21
+95% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
1-2
AWAY La Union Atletico
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs La Union Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico nicked a narrow win over Almeria II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Almeria II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almeria II had 63% of the ball to La Union Atletico's 37%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs La Union Atletico?

Almeria II 1-2 La Union Atletico in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs La Union Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 42%, draw 27%, La Union Atletico 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almeria II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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