CD Aguilas 2-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.63
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.53
No
71%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.4pp
30%
Draw
35%
-4.5pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.8pp
29%
BTTS Yes
36%
-6.6pp
71%
BTTS No
64%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.02/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.32
-9% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
1W-2D-0L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
10.03.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
29.10.2023 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas squeezed past UCAM Murcia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Aguilas as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (71%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CD Aguilas had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CD Aguilas and 0.33 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs UCAM Murcia?

CD Aguilas 2-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 41%, draw 30%, UCAM Murcia 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Aguilas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
16 Feb 2025
00:00 Escobedo vs Compostela Analysis →
00:00 CD Calahorra vs Real Sociedad III Analysis →
13:00 Espanyol II vs Mallorca II Analysis →
13:00 Real Madrid III vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:30 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs UD Alzira Analysis →
13:30 Valencia II vs Pena Deportiva Analysis →