Valencia II 2-0 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.43/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.10
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
287 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 3-0 HT 1-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
04.02.2024 Valencia II Valencia II 1-0 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
24.09.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 1-1 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
07.05.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
08.01.2023 Valencia II Valencia II 0-0 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
24.01.2021 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-1 HT 0-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia II
2-0
AWAY Pena Deportiva
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Valencia II vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia II saw off Pena Deportiva 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valencia II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valencia II had 55% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 45%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valencia II and 1.17 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Valencia II vs Pena Deportiva?

Valencia II 2-0 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia II vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valencia II 43%, draw 28%, Pena Deportiva 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valencia II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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