Pena Deportiva 3-0 Valencia II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia II EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +29%
1.33/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.55
+19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +90%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pena Deportiva
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Valencia II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
04.02.2024 Valencia II Valencia II 1-0 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
24.09.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 1-1 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
07.05.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
08.01.2023 Valencia II Valencia II 0-0 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
24.01.2021 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-1 HT 0-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS3
25.10.2020 Valencia II Valencia II 0-0 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pena Deportiva
3-0
AWAY Valencia II
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pena Deportiva vs Valencia II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pena Deportiva swept aside Valencia II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Pena Deportiva made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pena Deportiva had 48% of the ball to Valencia II's 52%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pena Deportiva and 0.50 for Valencia II.

What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs Valencia II?

Pena Deportiva 3-0 Valencia II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs Valencia II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 34%, draw 30%, Valencia II 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Valencia II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valencia II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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