RFC Liege 2-1 Olympic Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympic Charleroi EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.28/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.25
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
25.4 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Olympic Charleroi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
366 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Olympic Charleroi Olympic Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
2-1
AWAY Olympic Charleroi
2.19 xG 1.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
297 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs Olympic Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege edged past Olympic Charleroi 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RFC Liege as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, RFC Liege had 47% of the ball to Olympic Charleroi's 53%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 2.19 to 1.71.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Olympic Charleroi?

RFC Liege 2-1 Olympic Charleroi in the Belgium - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Olympic Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 56%, draw 24%, Olympic Charleroi 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Liege), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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