Leones del Norte 1-0 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
32%
-8.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-3.3pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones del Norte EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.83/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.43
-23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
12.0 Crosses 14.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones del Norte
1-0
AWAY Delfin
0.82 xG 0.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
307 Passes 207
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leones del Norte vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones del Norte squeezed past Delfin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leones del Norte as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leones del Norte had 58% of the ball to Delfin's 42%, shots finished 4-10, expected goals 0.82 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs Delfin?

Leones del Norte 1-0 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones del Norte vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones del Norte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leones del Norte 42%, draw 24%, Delfin 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones del Norte), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones del Norte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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