Uni. Catolica 4-1 Guayaquil City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 5 Apr 2026

Uni. Catolica
4-1 HT 0-1
Guayaquil City
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs Guayaquil City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.2pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Guayaquil City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Guayaquil City EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.87/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.90
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
19.0 Crosses 9.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Uni. Catolica vs Guayaquil City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Guayaquil City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.67 xG 0.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
401 Passes 354
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
06.03.2023 Uni. Catolica 3-0 HT 2-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
18.07.2022 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 2-0 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
27.02.2022 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-1 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
22.08.2021 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
21.03.2021 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 1-2 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Uni. Catolica 4-1 Guayaquil City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
4-1
AWAY Guayaquil City
1.53 xG 0.31
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
472 Passes 220
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Guayaquil City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica ran out comfortable winners over Guayaquil City 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 64% of the ball to Guayaquil City's 36%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.53 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Uni. Catolica and 0.83 for Guayaquil City.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Guayaquil City?

Uni. Catolica 4-1 Guayaquil City in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Guayaquil City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 68%, draw 19%, Guayaquil City 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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