HERA United (K) 2-1 Heerenveen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
56%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
27%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
28%
-10.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
56%
Away Win
46%
+9.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HERA United (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/1.23
+6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -61%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses 25.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HERA United (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
227 Passes 437
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Crosses 14
12.10.2025 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 HERA United (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HERA United (K)
2-1
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
267 Passes 257
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH HERA United (K) vs Heerenveen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HERA United (K) edged past Heerenveen (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Heerenveen (K) carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, HERA United (K) had 52% of the ball to Heerenveen (K)'s 48%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of HERA United (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

HERA United (K) 2-1 Heerenveen (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HERA United (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heerenveen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split HERA United (K) 18%, draw 26%, Heerenveen (K) 56%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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