Heerenveen (K) 1-0 HERA United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY HERA United (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+51% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1-0
AWAY HERA United (K)
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
437 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Heerenveen (K) vs HERA United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen (K) nicked a narrow win over HERA United (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Heerenveen (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Heerenveen (K) had 61% of the ball to HERA United (K)'s 39%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Heerenveen (K) vs HERA United (K)?

Heerenveen (K) 1-0 HERA United (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen (K) vs HERA United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 51%, draw 21%, HERA United (K) 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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