PSV Eindhoven (K) 1-1 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
17%
3.35
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.8pp
17%
Draw
26%
-9.3pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.00/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.34
+103% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -45%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ajax (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
253 Passes 381
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2025 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
22.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
07.12.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
1-1
AWAY Ajax (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
278 Passes 306
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) and Ajax (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was PSV Eindhoven (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven (K) had 49% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 51%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PSV Eindhoven (K) and 1.00 for Ajax (K).

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Ajax (K)?

PSV Eindhoven (K) 1-1 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven (K) 47%, draw 17%, Ajax (K) 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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