Utrecht (K) 3-0 PEC Zwolle (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 5 Apr 2026

Utrecht (K)
3-0 HT 1-0
PEC Zwolle (K)
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Utrecht (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
56%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.61
No
35%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
28%
-6.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
56%
Away Win
47%
+9.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
58%
+6.7pp
35%
BTTS No
42%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht (K) v PEC Zwolle (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.14/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.35
+147% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +84%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.4 Crosses 25.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Utrecht (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
468 Passes 232
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.09.2025 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
05.10.2024 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1

Utrecht (K) 3-0 PEC Zwolle (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht (K)
3-0
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
194 Passes 321
62% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Utrecht (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht (K) swept aside PEC Zwolle (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PEC Zwolle (K) at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.

On the day, Utrecht (K) had 42% of the ball to PEC Zwolle (K)'s 58%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Utrecht (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Utrecht (K) and 0.50 for PEC Zwolle (K).

What was the final score of Utrecht (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Utrecht (K) 3-0 PEC Zwolle (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PEC Zwolle (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Utrecht (K) 21%, draw 22%, PEC Zwolle (K) 56%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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