Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.15/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.79
-14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Minaa Basra
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Maysan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14.09.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra IRAK
13.06.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan nicked a narrow win over Al Minaa Basra 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Minaa Basra at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Minaa Basra and 1.50 for Naft Maysan.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?

Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Minaa Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 45%, draw 28%, Naft Maysan 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Minaa Basra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Minaa Basra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
5 Apr 2026
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