Naft Maysan 1-3 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
44%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.0pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 31%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.90/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.35
-28% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Maysan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Minaa Basra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
13.06.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Minaa Basra beat Naft Maysan 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Naft Maysan at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra?

Naft Maysan 1-3 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Maysan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 51%, draw 23%, Al Minaa Basra 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naft Maysan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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