Duhok 0-1 Al Karma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

Duhok
0-1 HT 0-1
Al Karma
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Duhok vs Al Karma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.2pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Duhok v Al Karma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duhok EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karma EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.00/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.02
-13% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Duhok vs Al Karma Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Duhok
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Karma
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
21.06.2025 Al Karma 1-0 HT 0-0 Duhok Duhok IRAK
29.01.2025 Duhok Duhok 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Karma IRAK
POST-MATCH Duhok vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma nicked a narrow win over Duhok 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Karma found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Duhok and 1.00 for Al Karma.

What was the final score of Duhok vs Al Karma?

Duhok 0-1 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duhok vs Al Karma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Duhok 39%, draw 23%, Al Karma 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Duhok) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Duhok) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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