29/01/2025
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Duhok vs Al Karma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
34%
Draw
29%
27%
Away Win
23%
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
58%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Duhok v Al Karma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Duhok
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Karma
EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
304 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Duhok vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Duhok saw off Al Karma 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Duhok found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Duhok vs Al Karma?
Duhok 3-1 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Duhok vs Al Karma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Duhok 39%, draw 34%, Al Karma 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Duhok) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Duhok)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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More Iraq - Premier League
29 Jan 2025