Newroz 1-1 Al-Qasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 29 Jan 2025

Newroz
1-1 HT 0-1
Al-Qasim
📅29/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newroz vs Al-Qasim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newroz v Al-Qasim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 31%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.37
+150% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -65%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz and Al-Qasim couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Newroz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al-Qasim?

Newroz 1-1 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al-Qasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Newroz 44%, draw 29%, Al-Qasim 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newroz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newroz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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