Naft Al-Basra 1-0 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.16
No
45%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
54%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.0pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.7pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
42%
+13.0pp
45%
BTTS No
58%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 168 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Naft Al-Basra vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Al-Basra edged past Diala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naft Al-Basra as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Naft Al-Basra vs Diala?

Naft Al-Basra 1-0 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Al-Basra vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Al-Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naft Al-Basra 45%, draw 33%, Diala 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft Al-Basra), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft Al-Basra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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