Naft 0-3 Al-Qasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

Naft
0-3 HT 2-0
Al-Qasim
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Naft vs Al-Qasim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.1pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft v Al-Qasim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.18
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Naft vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qasim ran out comfortable winners over Naft 3-0 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Al-Qasim made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

What was the final score of Naft vs Al-Qasim?

Naft 0-3 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Al-Qasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Naft 40%, draw 33%, Al-Qasim 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
14 Sep 2025
18:00 Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra Analysis →
20:30 Duhok vs Al Karma Analysis →