Al Karma 1-0 Duhok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-5.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karma EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Duhok EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.00
+68% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Karma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Duhok
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29.01.2025 Duhok Duhok 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Karma IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Karma vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma edged past Duhok 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Al Karma made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Karma vs Duhok?

Al Karma 1-0 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Duhok?

Before kick-off our model rated an Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 30%, draw 31%, Duhok 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Duhok) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Duhok) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
21 Jun 2025
21:30 Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba Analysis →