Al Minaa Basra 2-3 Al Talaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 21 Jun 2025

Al Minaa Basra
2-3 HT 1-2
Al Talaba
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
28%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Minaa Basra v Al Talaba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 49%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.20/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.45
+37% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +106%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
225 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Talaba nicked a narrow win over Al Minaa Basra 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Talaba as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?

Al Minaa Basra 2-3 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 27%, draw 25%, Al Talaba 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Talaba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Talaba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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