Kaspyi 0-1 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-12.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+10.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaspyi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
1.50/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.07
+11% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaspyi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
16.07.2023 Kaspyi Kaspyi 1-2 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
04.06.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 3-2 HT 1-2 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
01.08.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZKK
25.07.2021 Kaspyi Kaspyi 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
12.06.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-1 HT 0-1 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
04.04.2021 Kaspyi Kaspyi 2-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaspyi vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhetysu squeezed past Kaspyi 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Zhetysu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaspyi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kaspyi and 0.83 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Kaspyi vs Zhetysu?

Kaspyi 0-1 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaspyi vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zhetysu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kaspyi 34%, draw 29%, Zhetysu 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhetysu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zhetysu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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