Kairat 4-0 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.97/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.16
+48% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Astana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
26.10.2025 Kairat Kairat 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
02.03.2025 FC Astana FC Astana 1-1 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
01.09.2024 Kairat Kairat 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
29.06.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 1-3 HT 1-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
27.08.2023 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
16.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 0-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat ran out comfortable winners over FC Astana 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kairat and 0.67 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Kairat vs FC Astana?

Kairat 4-0 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kairat 47%, draw 22%, FC Astana 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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