Kairat 1-1 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
2.14/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.19
+59% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Astana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 FC Astana FC Astana 1-1 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
01.09.2024 Kairat Kairat 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
29.06.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 1-3 HT 1-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
27.08.2023 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
16.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 0-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
15.10.2022 Kairat Kairat 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat and FC Astana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kairat at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kairat and 1.17 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Kairat vs FC Astana?

Kairat 1-1 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kairat 44%, draw 27%, FC Astana 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kairat) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ BTTS Yes
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