Ulytau 2-2 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

Ulytau
2-2 HT 1-1
Tobol
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
53%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
27%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
53%
Away Win
47%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulytau EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 51%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.51/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.96
+79% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulytau
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tobol
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.03.2025 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulytau KAZP
POST-MATCH Ulytau vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulytau and Tobol couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tobol at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ulytau vs Tobol?

Ulytau 2-2 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulytau vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ulytau 24%, draw 23%, Tobol 53%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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